Updated: Mon Feb-18-19 06:11pm UTC
Effective: Tue Feb-19-19 06:00pm UTC
Expires: Tue Feb-19-19 06:15am UTC
Severity: Unknown
Urgency: Future
Certainty: Possible
Status: Actual
Type: Alert
Category: Met
Areas affected: Adams; Attala; Bolivar; Carroll; Choctaw; Claiborne; Clarke; Clay; Copiah; Covington; Forrest; Franklin; Grenada; Hinds; Holmes; Humphreys; Issaquena; Jasper; Jefferson; Jefferson Davis; Jones; Kemper; Lamar; Lauderdale; Lawrence; Leake; Leflore; Lincoln; Lowndes; Madison; Marion; Montgomery; Neshoba; Newton; Noxubee; Oktibbeha; Rankin; Scott; Sharkey; Simpson; Smith; Sunflower; Warren; Washington; Webster; Winston; Yazoo
Message Summary: ...heavy rain and flooding likely through the weekend...
A stalled frontal boundary will combine with moist southwesterly
flow aloft and periodic embedded impulses to produce several
rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall across the area this week. At
this time, cumulative rainfall totals of three to six inches with
locally higher amounts are expected across much of the arklamiss
by the end of the week. Some areas in the northwestern parts of
the area could see higher amounts of four to seven inches
possible.
With current stream flows near to above normal and moist soil
conditions across the area, many rivers and streams will
experience rises from this rainfall. At this time, it appears that
at least minor to moderate river flooding is likely to develop by
mid week and persist into the weekend on some area rivers. The
rivers that are most likely to experience flooding later this week
include tibbee creek adnd the yazoo, big sunflower, big black,
and pearl rivers. Depending on where and how much rainfall occurs,
other river basins could also be affected by flooding later this
week.
In addition to river flooding, areal flooding from prolonged
rainfall or flash flooding from more intense rainfall could also
become a problem later this week as soils remain saturated and
periods of rainfall continue.
Interests across the arklamiss are urged to monitor the latest
forecasts and weather developments, and be prepared to take
protective actions if flooding develops.
