Message Summary: ...heavy rain and flooding likely through the weekend...
A stalled frontal boundary will combine with moist southwesterly flow aloft and periodic embedded impulses to produce several rounds of moderate to heavy rainfall across the area this week. At this time, cumulative rainfall totals of three to six inches with locally higher amounts are expected across much of the arklamiss by the end of the week. Some areas in the northwestern parts of the area could see higher amounts of four to seven inches possible. With current stream flows near to above normal and moist soil conditions across the area, many rivers and streams will experience rises from this rainfall. At this time, it appears that at least minor to moderate river flooding is likely to develop by mid week and persist into the weekend on some area rivers. The rivers that are most likely to experience flooding later this week include tibbee creek adnd the yazoo, big sunflower, big black, and pearl rivers. Depending on where and how much rainfall occurs, other river basins could also be affected by flooding later this week. In addition to river flooding, areal flooding from prolonged rainfall or flash flooding from more intense rainfall could also become a problem later this week as soils remain saturated and periods of rainfall continue. Interests across the arklamiss are urged to monitor the latest forecasts and weather developments, and be prepared to take protective actions if flooding develops.